Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000139 0.000153 0.000169 0.000187 0.000208 0.000230 0.000255
2025-08-17 0.000110 0.000131 0.000155 0.000186 0.000223 0.000267 0.000323
2025-08-24 0.000092 0.000116 0.000144 0.000183 0.000233 0.000296 0.000383
2025-08-31 0.000078 0.000102 0.000133 0.000177 0.000236 0.000315 0.000431
2025-09-07 0.000070 0.000095 0.000128 0.000177 0.000247 0.000344 0.000493
2025-09-14 0.000064 0.000090 0.000126 0.000180 0.000261 0.000379 0.000568
2025-09-21 0.000058 0.000084 0.000120 0.000177 0.000265 0.000399 0.000622
2025-09-28 0.000052 0.000076 0.000112 0.000170 0.000263 0.000408 0.000660
2025-10-05 0.000049 0.000073 0.000111 0.000173 0.000274 0.000440 0.000738
2025-10-12 0.000046 0.000071 0.000110 0.000177 0.000289 0.000478 0.000833
2025-10-19 0.000043 0.000067 0.000106 0.000174 0.000293 0.000498 0.000895
2025-10-26 0.000041 0.000065 0.000105 0.000176 0.000303 0.000530 0.000986
2025-11-02 0.000038 0.000061 0.000101 0.000173 0.000307 0.000552 0.001060
2025-11-09 0.000035 0.000059 0.000098 0.000173 0.000313 0.000580 0.001154
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000055 0.000095 0.000170 0.000316 0.000602 0.001236
2025-11-23 0.000030 0.000052 0.000090 0.000164 0.000313 0.000610 0.001291
2025-11-30 0.000028 0.000050 0.000088 0.000164 0.000321 0.000643 0.001406
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000049 0.000088 0.000167 0.000335 0.000690 0.001559
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000046 0.000084 0.000164 0.000336 0.000708 0.001648
2025-12-21 0.000023 0.000043 0.000080 0.000158 0.000329 0.000710 0.001695
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000042 0.000079 0.000160 0.000341 0.000754 0.001859
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000041 0.000080 0.000164 0.000357 0.000811 0.002063
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000040 0.000077 0.000162 0.000359 0.000833 0.002179